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POOL

LongInsider Cluster

2 insiders bought $1.9M of POOL this 14d.

verified·13323864a5b7
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-0.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 9 of 30
Tracking to 30D
POOL signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
15
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 21, 2026
Price
$181.83
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 9of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 6D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+6D
  3. 30D+21D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

24 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
8.1 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
3.8 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money8.1 / 40

  • Director PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J bought $1.8M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +3518942

  • Director WHALEN DAVID G bought $100K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +199962

  • Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $702.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $156.3M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $2.4M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $4.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.3.8 / 35

  • Revenue growth 6.2% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.7

  • Operating margin expanded 2bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +0

  • Strong ROE (34.2%)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Profitable (7.6% net margin)

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +1

  • Forward P/E 16.5 (reasonable)

    Sector comps + FMP· source

    +1
Technicals1 / 15

  • RSI(14) 35.7 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • MACD histogram -1.249 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro1.9 / 10

  • VIX 18.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +18.1

  • 10y-2y spread 53bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-20

    Macro composite· source

    +0.53

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.86pp at 49th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.86

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 92bps (positive) as of 2026-05-20

    Macro composite· source

    +0.92
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerj50... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
2
events
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage2 / 2
SEC EDGAR Form 42/2 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-14· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+2.22%
D7
+2.22%
n=90 · 67% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950372.

Signal payload hash
13323864a5b716c02c10cce1432d0655ff3f250a82bd06c573e447da90b67167
Timestamp
2026-05-21 11:50 UTC
Ticker
POOL
Direction
Long
Issued price
$181.83
Bitcoin block
950372