Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14. Read methodology.

AMRZ

LongInsider Buy

C-suite insider bought $938K of AMRZ this 14d.

verified·64df8f5238ff·2026-05-21 03:50 UTC

Lifecycle

Active · step 3 of 6

Detected
Verified
Active
Cooling
Resolved
Scored

Walk-forward performance

+4.1%alpha vs SPY

Day 9 of 30

Tracking to 30D

AMRZ signal

SPY benchmark

target band

projection

Evidence score

Watch · Mixed Evidence

internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range

+5% to +15%

by 30D from issuance

Issued

Date: May 21, 2026
Price: $50.00
Horizon: 30D

Progress

Day 9of 30

Next checkpoint: 15D in 6D

Walk-forward schedule

7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint

7DLogged
15D+6D
30D+21D
60DOut
120DOut
180DOut
1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

17 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money

8.9 / 40

Fund. & Earn.

0.6 / 35

Technicals

2 / 15

Macro

1.9 / 10

Smart money8.9 / 40

Chairman & CEO Jenisch Jan Philipp bought $938K
SEC EDGAR Form 4· source
+2815354
short-volume tape softening: latest 39.2% fell 15.8pp vs 20d avg 55.0%
FINRA short interest· source
+2

Fund. & Earn.0.6 / 35

Revenue growth 4.7% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)
Earnings releases (8-K)· source
+0.6

Technicals2 / 15

RSI(14) 39.3 (mild, room above)
Price + volume· source
+1
MACD histogram -0.388 (negative)
Price + volume· source
+0
EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)
Price + volume· source
+0
Latest day's short ratio 39.2% (15.8pp below 20d baseline)
Price + volume· source
+1

Macro1.9 / 10

VIX 18.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-19
Macro composite· source
+18.1
10y-2y spread 54bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-19
Macro composite· source
+0.54
Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01
Macro composite· source
+102.5
Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)
Macro composite· source
+0.99
CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)
Macro composite· source
+3.95
HY OAS 2.86pp at 49th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)
Macro composite· source
+2.86
Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)
Macro composite· source
+0.16
Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)
Macro composite· source
+4.87
U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01
Macro composite· source
+53.3
10y-3m spread 100bps (positive) as of 2026-05-19
Macro composite· source
+1

Recommendation receipt

Signal-level proof only.

This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

Cryptographic proof

Proof queued.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

How OpenTimestamps works

Anchoring queued. Refresh after a moment to see the .ots proof.

Signal payload hash

64df8f5238fffa73ef37046d180f41d72cc1718a05297cf1bbc1cafabcc5ac57

Timestamp: 2026-05-21 03:50 UTC
Ticker: AMRZ
Direction: Long
Issued price: $50.00
Bitcoin block: Queued