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LQDA

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $318K of LQDA this 14d.

verified·99b52bc002ef
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-1.2%alpha vs SPY
Day 9 of 30
Tracking to 30D
LQDA signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
20
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 21, 2026
Price
$61.77
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 9of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 6D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+6D
  3. 30D+21D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

23 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7.6 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
6 / 35
Technicals
4 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money7.6 / 40

  • Director Caligan Partners LP bought $318K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +635788

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $7.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $27.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $21.3M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $13.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • Short interest fell -12.9% as of 2026-04-30 (twice-monthly FINRA)

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1
Fund. & Earn.6 / 35

  • Revenue growth 4158.5% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3

  • Operating margin expanded 118171bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals4 / 15

  • RSI(14) 82.5 (overbought, mean-reversion bias down)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram 1.682 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • 60-day breakout (today close > prior-60d high)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro1.9 / 10

  • VIX 18.1 (mild) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +18.1

  • 10y-2y spread 54bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +0.54

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.86pp at 49th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.86

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 100bps (positive) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerj70... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-21· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+2.24%
D7
+2.24%
n=85 · 68% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Proof queued.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

How OpenTimestamps works

Anchoring queued. Refresh after a moment to see the .ots proof.

Signal payload hash
99b52bc002ef4d74f0c36c78c46de7bc01b10ba5a2df66eaf51ed2f74cfa8306
Timestamp
2026-05-21 01:20 UTC
Ticker
LQDA
Direction
Long
Issued price
$61.77
Bitcoin block
Queued