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AEBI

LongMulti-Insider Cluster

C-suite + 4 other insiders bought $247K of AEBI this 14d.

verified·a9ba3a3073af
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+12.7%alpha vs SPY
Day 10 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AEBI signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
16
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 20, 2026
Price
$11.30
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 10of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 5D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+5D
  3. 30D+20D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

19 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
9.6 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
3 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money9.6 / 40
  • CEO Europe and ROW Schroeder Henning bought $34K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +101700
  • Director Schaub Patrick Francois bought $74K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +148330
  • Chief Engineering Scherer Marcus Andreas bought $24K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +48600
  • Group Chief Financial Officer Portmann Marco bought $57K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +169650
  • Pres Vehicle Soln & CEO NA Schewerda Steffen bought $58K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +175200
Fund. & Earn.3 / 35
  • Revenue growth 82.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3
Technicals1 / 15
  • RSI(14) 47.9 (neutral)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • MACD histogram 0.033 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • EMA stack mixed (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro1.9 / 10
  • VIX 17.8 (mild) as of 2026-05-18

    Macro composite· source

    +17.8
  • 10y-2y spread 54bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +0.54
  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5
  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.83pp at 31th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.83
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 100bps (positive) as of 2026-05-19

    Macro composite· source

    +1
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerj90... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
5
events
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage5 / 5
SEC EDGAR Form 45/5 linked
Latest source events
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-19· source

    raw linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-19· source

    raw linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-19· source

    raw linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-19· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
D7
+1.95%
n=71 · 68% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950242.

Signal payload hash
a9ba3a3073af898bdfe8462d7e17cd5eccde397044430055601071742c05b00b
Timestamp
2026-05-20 12:44 UTC
Ticker
AEBI
Direction
Long
Issued price
$11.30
Bitcoin block
950242