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Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14. Read methodology.
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CSPI

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $23K of CSPI this 14d.

verified·b033fa2ed63c
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-0.9%alpha vs SPY
Day 11 of 30
Tracking to 30D
CSPI signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
13
Watch · Mixed Evidence
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 19, 2026
Price
$9.54
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 11of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 4D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+4D
  3. 30D+19D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

18 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
4.3 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
5.6 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money4.3 / 40
  • Director FOLGER ANTHONY bought $23K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +46790
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $3.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $10K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.5.6 / 35
  • Revenue growth 21.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +2.6
  • Operating margin expanded 225bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals1 / 15
  • RSI(14) 54.3 (neutral)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • MACD histogram -0.014 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro2 / 10
  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4
  • 10y-2y spread 54bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-18

    Macro composite· source

    +0.54
  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5
  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 23th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 93bps (positive) as of 2026-05-18

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93
Recommendation receipt

Signal-level proof only.

This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950104.

Signal payload hash
b033fa2ed63ccad91dfb57452f1d191591680a03b329f45ef23ea1c1c9ee1a62
Timestamp
2026-05-19 15:09 UTC
Ticker
CSPI
Direction
Long
Issued price
$9.54
Bitcoin block
950104