AlphaYou
Sign in
All signals

CHTR

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $1.4M of CHTR this 14d.

verified·21dc6efe8cd2
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-0.3%alpha vs SPY
Day 11 of 30
Tracking to 30D
CHTR signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
16
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 19, 2026
Price
$141.21
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 11of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 4D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+4D
  3. 30D+19D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

23 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
11.9 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money11.9 / 40

  • Director Ramos Mauricio bought $1.4M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +2798616

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP opened position ($65.2M)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $221.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • American Funds Insurance Series holds $228.8M (NPORT-P 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $69.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Capital Group Equity ETF Trust I holds $12.1M (NPORT-P 2026-02-28)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $85.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 53.3% fell 12.7pp vs 20d avg 66.0%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35

  • Operating margin expanded 3bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +0
Technicals2 / 15

  • RSI(14) 28.1 (oversold, mean-reversion bias up)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • MACD histogram -1.519 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Latest day's short ratio 53.3% (12.7pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro2 / 10

  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4

  • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.5

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 23th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.9
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerjb0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
2
events
2
sources
1
signals
Source coverage2 / 2
SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-18· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR 13F

    FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR 13F+1.27%
D7
+1.27%
n=75 · 64% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.96%
D7
+1.96%
n=64 · 69% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP

13F filer

+1.63%
D7
+1.63%
n=62 · 71% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950028.

Signal payload hash
21dc6efe8cd211f0fbcf65efe15af7a1039972380094427a049270091e09cbb2
Timestamp
2026-05-19 03:16 UTC
Ticker
CHTR
Direction
Long
Issued price
$141.21
Bitcoin block
950028