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Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:12<14. Read methodology.
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VITL

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $25K of VITL this 14d.

verified·1e01694c9750
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+16.9%alpha vs SPY
Day 11 of 30
Tracking to 30D
VITL signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
12
Watch · Mixed Evidence
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 19, 2026
Price
$8.28
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 11of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 4D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+4D
  3. 30D+19D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
6.4 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
1.8 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money6.4 / 40

  • Director Post Denny Marie bought $25K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +49380

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($23.5M) (+98%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $3.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $16.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $21.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 46.9% fell 8.5pp vs 20d avg 55.4%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1

  • Pending dilution: 1 S-3/S-8 shelf in trailing 90d

    SEC EDGAR dilution filings

    -1
Fund. & Earn.1.8 / 35

  • Revenue growth 15.4% YoY (period end 2026-03-29)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1.8
Technicals2 / 15

  • RSI(14) 26.0 (oversold, mean-reversion bias up)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • MACD histogram -0.234 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Latest day's short ratio 46.9% (8.5pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro2 / 10

  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4

  • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.5

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 23th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.9
Recommendation receipt

Signal-level proof only.

This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950020.

Signal payload hash
1e01694c97505c3e7b04a8bcce988522dde5b1022f3057248a9521fbae9039bb
Timestamp
2026-05-19 01:46 UTC
Ticker
VITL
Direction
Long
Issued price
$8.28
Bitcoin block
950020