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RSG

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $101.8M of RSG this 14d.

verified·e80faa78d941
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-5.8%alpha vs SPY
Day 11 of 30
Tracking to 30D
RSG signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
17
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 19, 2026
Price
$214.52
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 11of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 4D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+4D
  3. 30D+19D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

21 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
13 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0.5 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money13 / 40

  • 10% owner CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. bought $101.8M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +152757594

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($374.3M) (+64%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $91.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Fidelity Magellan Fund holds $410.2M (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $32.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $938.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.0.5 / 35

  • Revenue growth 2.3% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.3

  • Operating margin expanded 16bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +0.2
Technicals1 / 15

  • RSI(14) 59.2 (elevated)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram 1.427 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro2 / 10

  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4

  • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.5

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 23th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.9
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerjd0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
2
events
2
sources
1
signals
Source coverage2 / 2
SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-19· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR 13F

    FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR 13F+1.44%
D7
+1.44%
n=72 · 67% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.96%
D7
+1.96%
n=62 · 69% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP

13F filer

+1.91%
D7
+1.91%
n=59 · 75% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.

Insider

+2.61%
D7
+2.61%
n=1 · 100% hit
D15
n/a
D30
n/a
Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950017.

Signal payload hash
e80faa78d941556d93107c5d413f0a1ae0f918968191ba3337b57367078524e6
Timestamp
2026-05-19 01:16 UTC
Ticker
RSG
Direction
Long
Issued price
$214.52
Bitcoin block
950017