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LWAY

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $4.2M of LWAY this 14d.

verified·9631bc47207d
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-0.5%alpha vs SPY
Day 11 of 30
Tracking to 30D
LWAY signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
18
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 19, 2026
Price
$23.80
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 11of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 4D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+4D
  3. 30D+19D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

21 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
8.6 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
6 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money8.6 / 40

  • 10% owner Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP bought $4.2M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +6301452

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $9.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $2.3M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $529K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $8K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.6 / 35

  • Revenue growth 36.7% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3

  • Operating margin expanded 662bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals1 / 15

  • RSI(14) 41.5 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • MACD histogram -0.468 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack mixed (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Volume expansion (>1.5x prior-20d avg)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro2 / 10

  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4

  • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.5

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 23th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.9
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerjd0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-19· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.97%
D7
+1.97%
n=61 · 71% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 950017.

Signal payload hash
9631bc47207d4713d9507b7b8589999e5591eba9ffb444a5f9aa3efb333b60be
Timestamp
2026-05-19 00:46 UTC
Ticker
LWAY
Direction
Long
Issued price
$23.80
Bitcoin block
950017