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SHAK

LongInsider Cluster

3 insiders bought $685K of SHAK this 14d.

verified·903f20f9245c
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+1.3%alpha vs SPY
Day 11 of 30
Tracking to 30D
SHAK signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
19
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 18, 2026
Price
$59.69
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 11of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 4D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+4D
  3. 30D+19D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
11.3 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
4.8 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money11.3 / 40

  • Director Silverman Josh bought $501K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +1001050

  • Director Flug Jeffrey bought $61K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +122591

  • Director Chapman Charles J III bought $123K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +245451

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $20.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $74.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $11.7M (13F 2026-03-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $37.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.4.8 / 35

  • Revenue growth 15.4% YoY (period end 2025-12-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1.8

  • Operating margin expanded 408bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals1 / 15

  • RSI(14) 21.6 (oversold, mean-reversion bias up)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • MACD histogram -3.636 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro2 / 10

  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4

  • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.5

  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5

  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.80pp at 23th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.8

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.9
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerjd0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
3
events
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage3 / 3
SEC EDGAR Form 43/3 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-18· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-18· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-18· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+2.08%
D7
+2.08%
n=60 · 70% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949997.

Signal payload hash
903f20f9245c4a39d00b1c749092bc266e85814e6512dde0e20f2d108f0c2dd6
Timestamp
2026-05-18 21:16 UTC
Ticker
SHAK
Direction
Long
Issued price
$59.69
Bitcoin block
949997