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BROS

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $102K of BROS this 14d.

verified·e87dad9e4d52
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+1.3%alpha vs SPY
Day 14 of 30
Tracking to 30D
BROS signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
14
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 16, 2026
Price
$51.01
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 14of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 1D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+1D
  3. 30D+16D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

20 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
5.6 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
5 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money5.6 / 40
  • Director Penegor Todd Allan bought $102K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +204700
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $26.5M (13F 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $38.2M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $1.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $441.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.5 / 35
  • Revenue growth 30.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3
  • Net debt reduced 21.3% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +2
Technicals1 / 15
  • RSI(14) 44.0 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • MACD histogram -0.834 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro2 / 10
  • VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14

    Macro composite· source

    +17.3
  • 10y-2y spread 50bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.5
  • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

    Macro composite· source

    +102.5
  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.76pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.76
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 90bps (positive) as of 2026-05-15

    Macro composite· source

    +0.9
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerjf0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 1
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Latest source events
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-16· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
D7
+2.08%
n=52 · 71% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949618.

Signal payload hash
e87dad9e4d5265ed4879b2c9fef801eb176dc3e1d63a90733c2c51e3e045d3c1
Timestamp
2026-05-16 06:27 UTC
Ticker
BROS
Direction
Long
Issued price
$51.01
Bitcoin block
949618