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KBR

LongInsider Cluster

C-suite + 1 other insiders bought $349K of KBR this 14d.

verified·1f467a6a6e4d
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+10.4%alpha vs SPY
Day 14 of 30
Tracking to 30D
KBR signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
14
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 16, 2026
Price
$30.06
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 14of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 1D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+1D
  3. 30D+16D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

20 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
11 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money11 / 40

  • Director Von Thaer Lewis bought $92K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +184620

  • EVP & Chief Financial Officer Evans Shad E. bought $256K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +768825

  • TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP increased position ($40.9M) (+242%)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $12.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $14.6M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Janus Detroit Street Trust (active ETFs) holds $78K (NPORT-P 2026-10-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $765.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals1 / 15

    • RSI(14) 25.6 (oversold, mean-reversion bias up)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • MACD histogram -0.559 (negative)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +0
    Macro2 / 10

    • VIX 17.3 (mild) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +17.3

    • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +0.47

    • Industrial Production 102.5 (mild expansion) as of 2026-04-01

      Macro composite· source

      +102.5

    • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.99

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.76pp at 16th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.76

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 78bps (positive) as of 2026-05-14

      Macro composite· source

      +0.78
    Recommendation receipt

    Source chain complete.

    Recommendation cmppnerjg0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

    100.0%
    linked
    3
    events
    2
    sources
    1
    signals
    Source coverage3 / 3
    SEC EDGAR Form 42/2 linked
    SEC EDGAR 13F1/1 linked
    Latest source events

    • SEC EDGAR Form 4

      INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-16· source

      raw linked

    • SEC EDGAR Form 4

      INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-16· source

      raw linked

    • SEC EDGAR 13F

      FILING 13F FUND FLOW · 2026-05-15· source

      raw linked
    Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
    SEC EDGAR 13F+1.63%
    D7
    +1.63%
    n=64 · 69% hit
    D15
    n/a
    D30
    n/a
    SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.96%
    D7
    +1.96%
    n=50 · 70% hit
    D15
    +1.41%
    n=28 · 61% hit
    D30
    n/a
    Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
    TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP

    13F filer

    +1.92%
    D7
    +1.92%
    n=54 · 74% hit
    D15
    n/a
    D30
    n/a
    Cryptographic proof

    Anchored on Bitcoin.

    At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

    Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

    Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949583.

    Signal payload hash
    1f467a6a6e4d0138660f17380b82a384ffdb57d55abe3da6cfac12ef001b1d4d
    Timestamp
    2026-05-16 00:27 UTC
    Ticker
    KBR
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $30.06
    Bitcoin block
    949583