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ONON

LongInsider Cluster

C-suite + 2 other insiders bought $6.6M of ONON this 14d.

verified·7a1e1675d06b
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+4.7%alpha vs SPY
Day 15 of 30
Tracking to 30D
ONON signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
15
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 15, 2026
Price
$36.13
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 15of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D today
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+15D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

17 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
12.5 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
1.7 / 10
Smart money12.5 / 40

  • Executive Officer Bernhard Olivier bought $2.2M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +4396197

  • Executive Officer & Co-CEO Coppetti Caspar Felix bought $2.2M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +6594307

  • Executive Officer & Co-CEO Allemann David Michael bought $2.2M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +6594296
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals1 / 15

    • RSI(14) 55.8 (elevated)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • MACD histogram 0.179 (positive)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • Volume expansion (>1.5x prior-20d avg)

      Price + volume· source

      +0
    Macro1.7 / 10

    • VIX 17.9 (mild) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +17.9

    • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +0.48

    • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +101.8

    • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.99

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.82pp at 29th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.82

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 77bps (positive) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +0.77
    Recommendation receipt

    Source chain complete.

    Recommendation cmppnerju0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

    100.0%
    linked
    3
    events
    1
    sources
    1
    signals
    Source coverage3 / 3
    SEC EDGAR Form 43/3 linked
    Latest source events

    • SEC EDGAR Form 4

      INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-15· source

      raw linked

    • SEC EDGAR Form 4

      INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-15· source

      raw linked

    • SEC EDGAR Form 4

      INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-15· source

      raw linked
    Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
    SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.91%
    D7
    +1.91%
    n=48 · 69% hit
    D15
    +1.41%
    n=28 · 61% hit
    D30
    n/a
    Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

    No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

    Cryptographic proof

    Anchored on Bitcoin.

    At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

    Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

    Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949522.

    Signal payload hash
    7a1e1675d06b270202acb8dd44c71ee4fd3b66bffcf012089b800c9375651ef2
    Timestamp
    2026-05-15 13:27 UTC
    Ticker
    ONON
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $36.13
    Bitcoin block
    949522