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FUN

LongInsider Cluster

2 insiders bought $239K of FUN this 14d.

verified·d2fce20fc730
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-8.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 15 of 30
Tracking to 30D
FUN signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
16
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 15, 2026
Price
$20.08
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 15of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D today
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+15D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

21 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
6.4 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
4.4 / 35
Technicals
3 / 15
Macro
1.7 / 10
Smart money6.4 / 40
  • Executive Chair HADDRILL RICHARD M bought $191K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +381600
  • Director Spiegel Marilyn G bought $48K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +95625
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $46.5M (13F 2025-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Bridgewater Associates LP holds $6.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $104K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.4.4 / 35
  • Revenue growth 11.7% YoY (period end 2026-03-29)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1.4
  • Operating margin expanded 2049bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals3 / 15
  • RSI(14) 54.3 (neutral)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • MACD histogram 0.016 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro1.7 / 10
  • VIX 17.9 (mild) as of 2026-05-13

    Macro composite· source

    +17.9
  • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-13

    Macro composite· source

    +0.48
  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8
  • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.99
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.82pp at 29th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.82
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +4.87
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 77bps (positive) as of 2026-05-13

    Macro composite· source

    +0.77
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppnerjv0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
2
events
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage2 / 2
SEC EDGAR Form 42/2 linked
Latest source events
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-14· source

    raw linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-14· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
D7
+1.95%
n=47 · 70% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949477.

Signal payload hash
d2fce20fc73083e59b95f767f326eac28ea0f0552359f6971498c4270b60ee5a
Timestamp
2026-05-15 06:57 UTC
Ticker
FUN
Direction
Long
Issued price
$20.08
Bitcoin block
949477