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Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14. Read methodology.
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NOMD

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $6.6M of NOMD this 14d.

verified·a8bab460249a
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+2.9%alpha vs SPY
Day 15 of 30
Tracking to 30D
NOMD signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
13
Watch · Mixed Evidence
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 15, 2026
Price
$9.79
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 15of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D today
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+15D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

17 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
9.2 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
1.7 / 10
Smart money9.2 / 40

  • Director Gottesman Noam bought $6.6M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +13264820

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 16.7% fell 15.1pp vs 20d avg 31.8%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2

  • Short interest fell -17.9% as of 2026-04-15 (twice-monthly FINRA)

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals2 / 15

    • RSI(14) 52.1 (neutral)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • MACD histogram 0.008 (positive)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • Latest day's short ratio 16.7% (15.1pp below 20d baseline)

      Price + volume· source

      +1
    Macro1.7 / 10

    • VIX 17.9 (mild) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +17.9

    • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +0.48

    • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +101.8

    • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.99

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.82pp at 29th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.82

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 77bps (positive) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +0.77
    Recommendation receipt

    Signal-level proof only.

    This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

    Cryptographic proof

    Anchored on Bitcoin.

    At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

    Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

    Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949437.

    Signal payload hash
    a8bab460249acc11f3bca783b3d50cdd22af0fb11cf9dee9c333171cfbe737de
    Timestamp
    2026-05-15 00:27 UTC
    Ticker
    NOMD
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $9.79
    Bitcoin block
    949437