AlphaYouSign in
All signals

MRP

LongInsider Cluster

C-suite + 1 other insiders bought $77K of MRP this 14d.

verified·7619d929f9f7
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+2.2%alpha vs SPY
Day 16 of 30
Tracking to 30D
MRP signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
16
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 14, 2026
Price
$26.67
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 16of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 14D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+14D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7.6 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
6 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
1.8 / 10
Smart money7.6 / 40
  • General Counsel and Secretary Presa Rachel bought $28K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +55753
  • Chief Operating Officer Nitkin Robert bought $49K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +146832
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $21.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $112.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $55.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $121.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.6 / 35
  • Revenue growth 135.7% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +3
  • Operating margin expanded 3002bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals1 / 15
  • RSI(14) 30.7 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • MACD histogram -0.451 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • Volume expansion (>1.5x prior-20d avg)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro1.8 / 10
  • VIX 18.0 (mild) as of 2026-05-12

    Macro composite· source

    +18
  • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-13

    Macro composite· source

    +0.48
  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8
  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.82pp at 29th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.82
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 77bps (positive) as of 2026-05-13

    Macro composite· source

    +0.77
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppngiv40... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
2
events
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage2 / 2
SEC EDGAR Form 42/2 linked
Latest source events
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-13· source

    raw linked
  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-13· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
D7
+1.92%
n=36 · 67% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949336.

Signal payload hash
7619d929f9f7cda1b89bc5125e362b3e4a6b7be46da41cdde13af297a02612f1
Timestamp
2026-05-14 06:57 UTC
Ticker
MRP
Direction
Long
Issued price
$26.67
Bitcoin block
949336