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XRN

LongMulti-Insider Cluster

C-suite + 4 other insiders bought $375K of XRN this 14d.

verified·720f162d6895
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+6.2%alpha vs SPY
Day 17 of 30
Tracking to 30D
XRN signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
16
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 13, 2026
Price
$34.11
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 17of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 13D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+13D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

24 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
13.1 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
1.2 / 35
Technicals
0 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money13.1 / 40

  • CEO and President Decker Mark Okey Jr bought $170K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +509100

  • COO Holley Danica bought $51K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +151935

  • CFO and Treasurer KIERNAN ROBERT J bought $100K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +301410

  • Director Cole Henry bought $20K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +39996

  • Director Crowley Paula bought $34K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +68000

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $624K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $582K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $352K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $2.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.1.2 / 35

  • Revenue growth 10.0% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1.2
Technicals0 / 15

  • RSI(14) 46.6 (neutral)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram -0.217 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Volume expansion (>1.5x prior-20d avg)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro1.9 / 10

  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4

  • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.47

  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8

  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.79pp at 24th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.79

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 72bps (positive) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.72
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppngivb0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
5
events
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage5 / 5
SEC EDGAR Form 45/5 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-11· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.49%
D7
+1.49%
n=22 · 64% hit
D15
+0.50%
n=22 · 55% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949168.

Signal payload hash
720f162d6895f2e810e440aec99a4ff190decce0433f73cf1cd8edc9bdb7b170
Timestamp
2026-05-13 03:36 UTC
Ticker
XRN
Direction
Long
Issued price
$34.11
Bitcoin block
949168