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GPK

LongInsider Cluster

2 insiders bought $354K of GPK this 14d.

verified·7f84f84e8923
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+12.2%alpha vs SPY
Day 17 of 30
Tracking to 30D
GPK signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
14
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 13, 2026
Price
$10.12
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 17of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 13D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+13D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

25 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
8.7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0.5 / 35
Technicals
3 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money8.7 / 40

  • Director Stafeil Jeffrey bought $200K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +400002

  • Director HAGEMANN ROBERT bought $154K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +307983

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $19.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $14.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $12.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Janus Detroit Street Trust (active ETFs) holds $7.0M (NPORT-P 2025-10-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $299K (NPORT-P 2026-06-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 32.2% fell 16.3pp vs 20d avg 48.5%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0.5 / 35

  • Revenue growth 1.7% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.2

  • Net debt reduced 2.6% YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +0.3
Technicals3 / 15

  • RSI(14) 50.8 (neutral)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram 0.099 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack mixed (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Latest day's short ratio 32.2% (16.3pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro1.9 / 10

  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4

  • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.47

  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8

  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.79pp at 24th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.79

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 72bps (positive) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.72
Recommendation receipt

Source chain complete.

Recommendation cmppngivb0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

100.0%
linked
2
events
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage2 / 2
SEC EDGAR Form 42/2 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-11· source

    raw linked

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-11· source

    raw linked
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.57%
D7
+1.57%
n=21 · 62% hit
D15
+0.05%
n=21 · 52% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949156.

Signal payload hash
7f84f84e8923a4b1cb96a0542f8a7ab9d4e3d4c05a14f573bb6fa6af8be11f2b
Timestamp
2026-05-13 01:06 UTC
Ticker
GPK
Direction
Long
Issued price
$10.12
Bitcoin block
949156