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Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:12<14. Read methodology.
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ZTS

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $233K of ZTS this 14d.

verified·912583b42bfa
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+0.1%alpha vs SPY
Day 17 of 30
Tracking to 30D
ZTS signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
12
Watch · Mixed Evidence
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 13, 2026
Price
$76.94
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 17of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 13D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+13D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

22 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
8.3 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money8.3 / 40

  • Director MCCALLISTER MICHAEL B bought $233K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +466547

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $53.4M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Janus Investment Fund (legacy active) holds $182.2M (NPORT-P 2026-09-30)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $37.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $13.9M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $55.2M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 24.5% fell 28.0pp vs 20d avg 52.5%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals2 / 15

    • RSI(14) 12.4 (oversold, mean-reversion bias up)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • MACD histogram -4.461 (negative)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • Volume expansion (>1.5x prior-20d avg)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • Latest day's short ratio 24.5% (28.0pp below 20d baseline)

      Price + volume· source

      +1
    Macro1.9 / 10

    • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-11

      Macro composite· source

      +18.4

    • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-11

      Macro composite· source

      +0.47

    • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +101.8

    • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.93

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.79pp at 24th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.79

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.97

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 72bps (positive) as of 2026-05-11

      Macro composite· source

      +0.72
    Recommendation receipt

    Signal-level proof only.

    This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

    Cryptographic proof

    Anchored on Bitcoin.

    At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

    Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

    Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949151.

    Signal payload hash
    912583b42bfa631a32f41efc9aec99d473e006017739a8d7aa97f3f71e6a7495
    Timestamp
    2026-05-13 00:06 UTC
    Ticker
    ZTS
    Direction
    Long
    Issued price
    $76.94
    Bitcoin block
    949151