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Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14. Read methodology.
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FRPT

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $109K of FRPT this 14d.

verified·df44b6387813
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
+0.7%alpha vs SPY
Day 18 of 30
Tracking to 30D
FRPT signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
13
Watch · Mixed Evidence
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 12, 2026
Price
$51.85
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 18of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 12D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+12D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

19 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
5.7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
4.6 / 35
Technicals
1 / 15
Macro
1.9 / 10
Smart money5.7 / 40
  • Director GEORGE WALTER N. bought $109K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +218680
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $670K (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Two Sigma Investments LP holds $1.5M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $1.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • FMR LLC (Fidelity) holds $34.1M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +3
Fund. & Earn.4.6 / 35
  • Revenue growth 13.1% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +1.6
  • Operating margin expanded 582bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals1 / 15
  • RSI(14) 31.2 (mild, room above)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • MACD histogram -1.525 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • EMA stack bearish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
Macro1.9 / 10
  • VIX 18.4 (mild) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +18.4
  • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.47
  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8
  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93
  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95
  • HY OAS 2.79pp at 24th-pct trailing-90d (tight credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.79
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
Recommendation receipt

Signal-level proof only.

This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949120.

Signal payload hash
df44b638781398372429166b3ddfd3e81e39889482a4935f3668ec9f804ad247
Timestamp
2026-05-12 19:06 UTC
Ticker
FRPT
Direction
Long
Issued price
$51.85
Bitcoin block
949120