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Watch · Mixed Evidence. This signal is recorded in the public log and timestamped to Bitcoin, but it has not cleared AlphaYou's public-recommendation quality gate. Treat as ticker-level context, not a directional recommendation. Reasons: confidence:WEAK, score:13<14. Read methodology.
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UNH

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on UNH this 14d.

verified·9bbfd0411b35
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-2.4%alpha vs SPY
Day 18 of 30
Tracking to 30D
UNH signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
13
Watch · Mixed Evidence
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 12, 2026
Price
$385.54
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 18of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 12D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+12D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

24 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0.2 / 35
Technicals
4 / 15
Macro
1.8 / 10
Smart money7 / 40

  • Rep. Hon. Maria Elvira Salazar bought UNH ($1,001-$15,000)

    House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source

    +1

  • Rep. Hon. Gilbert Cisneros bought UNH ($1,001-$15,000)

    House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source

    +1

  • Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $1.7B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $263.0M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • Tiger Global Management LLC holds $138.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5

  • American Funds Insurance Series holds $1.4B (NPORT-P 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR NPORT-P· source

    +4

  • Citadel Advisors LLC holds $966.7M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 38.7% fell 6.4pp vs 20d avg 45.1%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +1
Fund. & Earn.0.2 / 35

  • Revenue growth 2.0% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +0.2
Technicals4 / 15

  • RSI(14) 81.8 (overbought, mean-reversion bias down)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram 0.504 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • 60-day breakout (today close > prior-60d high)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=NEUTRAL, 1m=LONG)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro1.8 / 10

  • VIX 17.2 (mild) as of 2026-05-08

    Macro composite· source

    +17.2

  • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.47

  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8

  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.81pp at 28th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.81

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 72bps (positive) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.72
Recommendation receipt

Signal-level proof only.

This signal does not currently map to a public Recommendation Ledger row. Its cryptographic signal hash is still available below, but it is not counted in the public track record.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949095.

Signal payload hash
9bbfd0411b35d47d5488f96233fcaac7ec10ea963f21c14a9f055a445495179c
Timestamp
2026-05-12 14:47 UTC
Ticker
UNH
Direction
Long
Issued price
$385.54
Bitcoin block
949095