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ODTX

LongMulti-Insider Cluster

C-suite + 3 other insiders bought $20.3M of ODTX this 14d.

verified·c69d8a211db2
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-3.1%alpha vs SPY
Day 18 of 30
Tracking to 30D
ODTX signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
15
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 12, 2026
Price
$17.45
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 18of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 12D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+12D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

14 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
13.2 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
0 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money13.2 / 40

  • Director LEIDEN JEFFREY M bought $100K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +200000

  • Chief Financial Officer Haas Jason bought $20K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +60000

  • Director Li Nan (LN) bought $20.0M

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +39999996

  • Director Chu Shelley bought $200K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +399996
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals0 / 15
      Macro2 / 10

      • VIX 17.2 (mild) as of 2026-05-08

        Macro composite· source

        +17.2

      • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-11

        Macro composite· source

        +0.47

      • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

        Macro composite· source

        +101.8

      • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

        Macro composite· source

        +0.93

      • CPI YoY 3.32% (in-range vs Fed target)

        Macro composite· source

        +3.32

      • HY OAS 2.81pp at 28th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

        Macro composite· source

        +2.81

      • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

        Macro composite· source

        +0.16

      • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

        Macro composite· source

        +3.97

      • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

        Macro composite· source

        +53.3

      • 10y-3m spread 72bps (positive) as of 2026-05-11

        Macro composite· source

        +0.72
      Recommendation receipt

      Source chain complete.

      Recommendation cmppngivi0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

      100.0%
      linked
      4
      events
      1
      sources
      1
      signals
      Source coverage4 / 4
      SEC EDGAR Form 44/4 linked
      Latest source events

      • SEC EDGAR Form 4

        INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

        raw linked

      • SEC EDGAR Form 4

        INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

        raw linked

      • SEC EDGAR Form 4

        INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

        raw linked

      • SEC EDGAR Form 4

        INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

        raw linked
      Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
      SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.49%
      D7
      +1.49%
      n=10 · 60% hit
      D15
      -0.66%
      n=10 · 40% hit
      D30
      n/a
      Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

      No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

      Cryptographic proof

      Anchored on Bitcoin.

      At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

      Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

      Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949018.

      Signal payload hash
      c69d8a211db2d4edbf61e18f58843017b9ad263d1df7937a51be31ed01d5db62
      Timestamp
      2026-05-12 01:17 UTC
      Ticker
      ODTX
      Direction
      Long
      Issued price
      $17.45
      Bitcoin block
      949018