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AMZN

ShortInsider Cluster

1 insider filed Form 144 (intent to sell) on AMZN this week.

verified·2e8b2ad5a4a8
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-2.1%alpha vs SPY
Day 9 of 30
Tracking to 30D
AMZN signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Conviction
14/100
Weakconfidence
Target range
-5% to -15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 15, 2026
Price
$263.70
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 9of 30
Next checkpoint: 15D in 6D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15D+6D
  3. 30D+21D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

19 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
4 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
0 / 35
Technicals
3 / 15
Macro
7.3 / 10
Smart money4 / 40

  • Garman Matthew S filed Form 144 ($3.0M intent to sell AMAZON COM INC)

    SEC EDGAR Form 144· source

    +2

  • short-volume tape elevated: latest 48.0% rose 12.5pp vs 20d avg 35.5%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.0 / 35
    Technicals3 / 15

    • RSI(14) 57.5 (elevated)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • MACD histogram -2.078 (negative)

      Price + volume· source

      +1

    • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

      Price + volume· source

      +0

    • Latest day's short ratio 48.0% (12.5pp above 20d baseline)

      Price + volume· source

      +1
    Macro7.3 / 10

    • VIX 17.9 (mild) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +17.9

    • 10y-2y spread 48bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +0.48

    • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +101.8

    • Initial claims 211,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.99, neutral)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.99

    • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

      Macro composite· source

      +3.95

    • HY OAS 2.82pp at 29th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

      Macro composite· source

      +2.82

    • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

      Macro composite· source

      +0.16

    • Retail sales 4.87% YoY (RSAFS)

      Macro composite· source

      +4.87

    • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

      Macro composite· source

      +53.3

    • 10y-3m spread 77bps (positive) as of 2026-05-13

      Macro composite· source

      +0.77

    • 10/11 sectors lagging SPY by >=1pp over 20d (broad-based weakness)

      ETF flows + sector data· source

      +3

    • Equal-weight RSP -5.1pp vs SPY (narrow leadership / risk-off)

      ETF flows + sector data· source

      +1

    • Net liquidity (Fed assets - reverse repo - TGA) -$66B over 4 weeks (falling)

      Macro composite· source

      +1
    Cryptographic proof

    Anchored on Bitcoin.

    At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

    Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

    Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949546.

    Signal payload hash
    2e8b2ad5a4a80ecf93e6b5b9a8a658cbdf2bca86df7f2b8c636b266c5a291b51
    Timestamp
    2026-05-15 17:27 UTC
    Ticker
    AMZN
    Direction
    Short
    Issued price
    $263.70
    Bitcoin block
    949546