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ETN

LongInsider Buy

Insider bought $390K of ETN this 14d.

verified·b650d5183457
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-6.0%alpha vs SPY
Day 16 of 30
Tracking to 30D
ETN signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
14
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 14, 2026
Price
$406.94
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 16of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 14D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+14D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

18 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7.8 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
2 / 35
Technicals
2 / 15
Macro
1.8 / 10
Smart money7.8 / 40

  • Director Johnson Gerald bought $390K

    SEC EDGAR Form 4· source

    +780395

  • Senator John Boozman bought ETN ($1,001-$15,000)

    House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source

    +1

  • short-volume tape softening: latest 45.3% fell 10.8pp vs 20d avg 56.1%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.2 / 35

  • Revenue growth 16.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +2
Technicals2 / 15

  • RSI(14) 51.3 (neutral)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • MACD histogram -3.262 (negative)

    Price + volume· source

    +0

  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1

  • Latest day's short ratio 45.3% (10.8pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro1.8 / 10

  • VIX 18.0 (mild) as of 2026-05-12

    Macro composite· source

    +18

  • 10y-2y spread 46bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-12

    Macro composite· source

    +0.46

  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8

  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93

  • CPI YoY 3.95% (hot vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.95

  • HY OAS 2.82pp at 29th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.82

  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16

  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97

  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3

  • 10y-3m spread 76bps (positive) as of 2026-05-12

    Macro composite· source

    +0.76
Recommendation receipt

Source chain partially linked.

Recommendation cmppngiv80... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

50.0%
linked
2
events
2
sources
1
signals
Source coverage1 / 2
SEC EDGAR Form 41/1 linked
Senate eFD0/1 linked
Latest source events

  • SEC EDGAR Form 4

    INSIDER BUY · 2026-05-12· source

    raw linked

  • Senate eFD

    CONGRESSIONAL TRADE · 2026-05-11

    legacy
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
SEC EDGAR Form 4+1.87%
D7
+1.87%
n=29 · 66% hit
D15
+1.41%
n=28 · 61% hit
D30
n/a
Senate eFD+0.68%
D7
+0.68%
n=1 · 100% hit
D15
-1.61%
n=1 · 0% hit
D30
n/a
Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance
John Boozman

Congress

+0.68%
D7
+0.68%
n=1 · 100% hit
D15
-1.61%
n=1 · 0% hit
D30
n/a
Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Download .ots proofHow OpenTimestamps works

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949289.

Signal payload hash
b650d51834576aac63df11e60165ff775bf5925018c9c17abf83942b6ead5985
Timestamp
2026-05-14 00:27 UTC
Ticker
ETN
Direction
Long
Issued price
$406.94
Bitcoin block
949289