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GOOGL

LongInsider Cluster

Smart-money signal on GOOGL this 14d.

verified·0561f14fd72c
Lifecycle
Active · step 3 of 6
  1. Detected
  2. Verified
  3. Active
  4. Cooling
  5. Resolved
  6. Scored
Walk-forward performance
-1.6%alpha vs SPY
Day 18 of 30
Tracking to 30D
GOOGL signal
SPY benchmark
target band
projection
Evidence score
19
Public Recommendation
internal bandWeak

Raw conviction from the active evidence stack. Category bars below show the full 100-point model and which sources contributed.

Target range
+5% to +15%
by 30D from issuance
Issued
Date
May 12, 2026
Price
$388.64
Horizon
30D
Progress
Day 18of 30
Next checkpoint: 30D in 12D
Walk-forward schedule
7 checkpoints · public log entry per checkpoint
  1. 7DLogged
  2. 15DLogged
  3. 30D+12D
  4. 60DOut
  5. 120DOut
  6. 180DOut
  7. 1YOut

At each checkpoint, the signal's signed return, alpha vs benchmark, and excursion bands append to the public log. No retroactive editing.

Score breakdown

24 contributors. Every one sourced.

Each category contributes a fixed share of the total. Each weight inside a category traces back to the filing, transcript, or feed that fired it.

Smart money
7 / 40
Fund. & Earn.
5.6 / 35
Technicals
4 / 15
Macro
2 / 10
Smart money7 / 40
  • Senator John Boozman bought GOOGL ($1,001-$15,000)

    House STOCK Act + Senate eFD· source

    +1
  • Berkshire Hathaway Inc holds $5.6B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Tiger Global Management LLC holds $3.3B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Pershing Square Capital Management LP holds $212.3M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • Renaissance Technologies LLC holds $92.8M (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +5
  • D. E. Shaw & Co Inc holds $2.1B (13F 2025-12-31)

    SEC EDGAR Form 13F· source

    +4
  • short-volume tape softening: latest 35.4% fell 10.7pp vs 20d avg 46.1%

    FINRA short interest· source

    +2
Fund. & Earn.5.6 / 35
  • Revenue growth 21.8% YoY (period end 2026-03-31)

    Earnings releases (8-K)· source

    +2.6
  • Operating margin expanded 220bps YoY

    10-Q + 10-K· source

    +3
Technicals4 / 15
  • RSI(14) 71.6 (overbought, mean-reversion bias down)

    Price + volume· source

    +0
  • MACD histogram 2.984 (positive)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • EMA stack bullish (9/21/50)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • Multi-timeframe partial confluence (2-of-3, no opposing) (1d=LONG, 1w=LONG, 1m=NEUTRAL)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
  • Latest day's short ratio 35.4% (10.7pp below 20d baseline)

    Price + volume· source

    +1
Macro2 / 10
  • VIX 17.2 (mild) as of 2026-05-08

    Macro composite· source

    +17.2
  • 10y-2y spread 47bps (flattish) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.47
  • Industrial Production 101.8 (flat) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +101.8
  • Initial claims 200,000 vs 26w mean (ratio 0.93, subdued)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.93
  • CPI YoY 3.32% (in-range vs Fed target)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.32
  • HY OAS 2.81pp at 28th-pct trailing-90d (mid credit spread)

    Macro composite· source

    +2.81
  • Non-farm payrolls 0.16% YoY (PAYEMS)

    Macro composite· source

    +0.16
  • Retail sales 3.97% YoY (RSAFS)

    Macro composite· source

    +3.97
  • U-Mich Consumer Sentiment 53.3 (weak) as of 2026-03-01

    Macro composite· source

    +53.3
  • 10y-3m spread 72bps (positive) as of 2026-05-11

    Macro composite· source

    +0.72
Recommendation receipt

Source chain partially linked.

Recommendation cmppngivg0... collapses 1 same-day signal into one public track-record row. The raw upstream receipts are checked here before the OpenTimestamps hash below.

0.0%
linked
1
event
1
sources
1
signals
Source coverage0 / 1
Senate eFD0/1 linked
Latest source events
  • Senate eFD

    CONGRESSIONAL TRADE · 2026-05-11

    legacy
Prior source recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No matured prior source record at this issuance time.

Prior actor recordD7 / D15 / D30 before issuance

No recurring actor in prior matured recommendations yet.

Cryptographic proof

Anchored on Bitcoin.

At publication, the full signal payload - ticker, direction, conviction, breakdown with contributors, why-now, target range, issued price, and issued time - is hashed with SHA-256 (hash scheme v2). The hash is to the right; the .ots proof below is what an OpenTimestamps calendar produced when we submitted it. Anyone can verify it by re-deriving the canonical hash from our public payload and feeding the .ots file to the upstream `ots verify` CLI.

Bitcoin attested. Hash settled to block 949020.

Signal payload hash
0561f14fd72c793d9ec7227d176c38263d6b9e09b9f6fa877b54b4e38c82cb90
Timestamp
2026-05-12 01:47 UTC
Ticker
GOOGL
Direction
Long
Issued price
$388.64
Bitcoin block
949020